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IMD Predicts Warmer November, Stated Winter is Nowhere Near

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicted on Tuesday that with the November forecast being warmer, India may have to wait a bit longer for winter.

Shruti Kandwal
It is unlikely that the wave would hit North India, which typically experiences winter conditions in mid-November.
It is unlikely that the wave would hit North India, which typically experiences winter conditions in mid-November.

The IMD also predicted above-normal night temperatures for most parts of the country in November. Addressing a press conference, IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said live over most parts of the country.

Large segments of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand are also expected to have above-average daytime temperatures, according to the weather service. Coldwave conditions this month have been ruled out by the forecasts.

"Given that the region's minimum temperatures are likely to be above average, there may be clouds in the area. This would imply that the likelihood of a coldwave in November would be lower "said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.

It is unlikely that the wave would hit North India, which typically experiences winter conditions in mid-November when the temperatures start to drop and the nights become chilly.

Mohapatra stated that south peninsular India was likely to experience above-normal rainfall during the month as northeast monsoon showers were set to drench the area. This was according to the long-range rainfall and temperature forecast for November.

With a 23% error margin, the long-period average rainfall for south peninsular India in November is 118.7 mm.

The northeast monsoon arrived over Tamil Nadu and surrounding areas on October 29, over a fortnight later than its usual onset date of October 15. According to Mohapatra, the southwest monsoon's withdrawal has also been delayed.

By the end of the year, the Indian Ocean's negative dipole conditions that are present over the equatorial Indian Ocean are projected to gradually weaken.

The forecast service had released an extended range outlook for Cyclone Sitrang on October 13—nine days before the depression developed over the northern Andaman Sea, according to the IMD director. He added that the meteorology department had also foretold Cyclone Sitrang's landfall in Bangladesh four days beforehand.

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